Where is Mawar/Betty headed? Weekend overview for the super typhoon

May 26, 2023 - 12:15 PM
Super Typhoon Mawar eye
The eye of Super Typhoon Mawar, which will be renamed Betty once inside the Philippine area of responsibility, as of Friday, May 26, 2023. (CIMB-RAMMB)

Super Typhoon Mawar, which will be called Super Typhoon Betty once within the Philippine area of responsibility later Friday, is moving west-northwestward toward the northernmost tip of the country this weekend.

While its wide span of 550 kilometers is likely to cause heavy downpour across Northern Luzon and enhance the southwest monsoon to affect the rest of Luzon, it is not expected to directly hit land in the Philippines.

Based on state weather bureau PAGASA’s advisory Friday morning, here’s the forecast for the following days based on Betty’s track.

Mawar Forecast Track - PAGASA
Mawar Forecast Track from PAGASA as of 7 a.m. Friday, May 26, 2023.
Mawar Forecast Track - JTWC
Mawar Forecast Track from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Navy as of 9:30 a.m. Friday, May 26, 2023.

Friday, May 26, 2023

Super Typhoon Betty, location by 12 p.m. Friday, May 26, 2023.
  • Mawar retains its “super typhoon” strength with maximum sustained winds near the center at 215 kilometers per hour (kph) and gusts of up to 260 kph.
  • It is moving west at a speed of 20 kph.

Saturday, May 27, 2023

Super Typhoon Mawar/Betty, forecast location by 12 p.m. Saturday, May 27, 2023.
  • Now named Betty, the super typhoon enters the Philippine area of responsibility between late Friday night and early morning on Saturday.
  • It continues to move west-northwestward, accelerating before turning northwestward on Sunday.
  • After reaching its peak intensity on Saturday morning, Betty begins to decelerate in the evening.
  • It moves closer to the waters east of Extreme Northern Luzon and within 250 kilometers of the Batanes-Babuyan archipelago.

Sunday, May 28, 2023

Super Typhoon Betty, forecast location by 12 p.m. Sunday, May 28, 2023.
  • Betty continues to weaken but remains a powerful super typhoon due to unfavorable conditions such as wind shear, cooler sea surface temperatures resulting from its slowdown and dry air intrusion.
  • It brings heavy rains to Northern Luzon late Sunday, possibly triggering flooding or rain-induced landslides.
  • Wind signals may be raised in preparation for severe winds.

Monday, May 29, 2023

  • Heavy rains and strong winds across Northern Luzon persist despite the typhoon decreasing in intensity.

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